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Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Tips- Manly win against the odds in Vegas

ryan-tucker
04 Mar 2024
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Ryan Tucker 04 Mar 2024
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  • Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs expert predictions for Sunday’s NRL game
  • Kick off is at 1:30 PM (AEDT) at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas USA
  • New halves partnership of Luke Brooks and Daly Cherry-Evans key to Sea Eagles' likely success.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Luke Brooks Manly Sea Eagles
Will Luke Brooks be a game changer for Manly in 2024? (Photo by Matt King/Getty Images)

Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction


The new halves combination of Luke Brooks and Daly Cherry-Evans will lead Manly to a narrow victory over the South Sydney Rabbitohs in the first game of the double-header in Vegas to kick-off the NRL 2024 season.
  • Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team News
  • Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team List
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
  • Season Stats

All eyes will be on Brooks and Cherry-Evans as they find their chemistry as the new-look halves partnership at Brookvale. The former Tigers halfback will enjoy a pressureless transition form Wests, shrugging off his million dollar price tag and can now focus on his own game.

The injury riddled Souths backline will find it hard to contain the speed of the Manly outside backs on the big stage at Allegiant Stadium and that is where the Sea Eagles will attack and it is how they will get the underdog victory in the first game of the season.

With both teams outside of the normal environment, it is expected that this game will follow the repetitive round one trend in the NRL of games hitting the under. With a game total of the key number of 42.5, the likely result is definitely below that score.

Manly’s backline is full of speed and a big year is expected from Tolutau Koula who will play in his third season for the Sea Eagles. Koula and wing partner Jason Saab are probably the two fastest players in the league and they will combine for a try against an inexperienced and untested pairing of Richard Kennar and Jacob Gagai

T

  • Souths lost 9 of their last 13 games last season.
  • Round 1 game totals in the NRL averaged 35 points in 2023.
  • The round 4 game between Manly and Souths in 2023 ended with a game total of just 25 points.
  • Tolutau Koula scored 6 tries in his final 7 games for Manly last season.

Head to Head 


A Lachlan Ilias golden-point field goal was the only thing that seperated Manly and Souths in round 4 last year, with the Rabbitohs getting the victory 13-12, at Accor Stadium.

Souths 1-point nail-biter over Manly was thier seventh consecutive win against the Sea- Eagles, who have not beaten the Rabbitohs since the 13-12 victory of themselves back in 2019.

Also to note, since 2019, 37.5 percent of matches between South Sydney and Manly have been decided by 1-point.

Manly Sea Eagles Team News


The big news from the Manly camp is obviously the move of Luke Brooks to Brookvale from Campbelltown, but that is well documented.

The latest news is that Tom Trbojevic will start his first game for the Sea Eagles since round 15 last season and will not only join his brother Jake in the starting line-up, but also his brother Ben, who has won a place in the second row.

Ex- rooster Jaxson Paulo will add even more speed to the backline of the Sea Eagles claiming a wing spot with Reuben Garrick moving to the centres.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-34-14-1

2024 Profitability: Moneyline -$40.6 

Manly’s 2023 appeared to improve as the season went on but rightfully missed the finals, despites winning their 4 of their last 7 games and going down to 3 top-eight teams in that span. 

The Sea Eagles ended the year with an 11-12-1 record and were just not creative enough offensively to be a true contender in 2023. The addition of Luke Brooks should give them more versatility and creativity in attack in 2024. 

Manly Sea Eagles Team List


1. Tom Trbojevic
2. Jason Saab
3. Tolutau Koula
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Jaxson Paulo
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Taniela Paseka
9. Lachlan Croker
10. Josh Aloiai
11. Haumole Olakau’atu
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange
14. Karl Lawton
15. Corey Waddell
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Nathan Brown

Reserves
18. Jake Arthur
19. Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega
20. Aaron Woods
21. Tommy Talau
22. Brad Parker

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-30-50-5

2024 Profitability: Moneyline -$51.3

South Sydney ended 2023 in atrocious form losing 9 of their last 13 games and slipping out of the top 8 on the final weekend of the season and missing the finals for the first time since 2017.

After blanking the Tigers in round 11 last season, the South defence fell apart, averaging 27.3 points against per game which would have been good for fourth-worst in the NRL, compared to yearly averages. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News


Jacob Gagai will make his NRL debut at the age of 28 years old, claiming a wing spot with the absence of the Suspended Jack Wighton and injured Campbell Graham.

Sean Keppie will start in the front row against his former team.

Cody Walker has been named to start at five-eight despite missing the All-Stars match with an ankle concern.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List


1. Latrell Mitchell 
2. Alex Johnston 
3. Isaiah Tass
4. Richard Kennar
5. Jacob Gagai
6. Cody Walker
7. Lachlan Ilias
8. Tevita Tatola
9. Damien Cook
10. Sean Keppie
11. Keaon Koloamatangi
12. Jai Arrow
13. Cameron Murray

Interchange
14. Siliva Havili
15. Jacob Host
16. Davvy Moale
17. Tom Burgess

Reserves
18. Tallis Duncan
19. Michael Chee Kam
20. Shaq Mitchell
21. Peter Mamouzelos
24. Dean Hawkins

Season Stats


Manly Sea Eagles
Over/UnderWin 1-12/13+Loss 1-12/13+
11-136-57-5

South Sydney Rabbitohs
Over/Under
Win 1-12/13+
Loss 1-12/13+
10-144-87-5

Verdict

The Manly Sea Eagles will enjoy a fruitful new halves partnership and get the win over Souths.

This game is expected to follow the trend of unders in round one and getting the half a point over 42 is a luxury.

Tolutau Koula is expected to have a big year in the centres for the Sea Eagles and will go over in Vegas with great odds as an anytime tryscorer.
Best Bet1: Manly Sea Eagles Money Line @21/20 at Betr - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 42.5 Game Total @7/8 at Boombet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Tolutau Koula Anytime Tryscorer @29/10 at Neds - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Tolutau Koula First Tryscorer @20/1 at Neds - 1 Unit
Manly Sea Eagles
Money Line
@21/20 - 2 Units
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03 Mar 2024

Manly Sea Eagles v South Sydney Rabbitohs