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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters Tips - Bulldogs backed to cover the line

ryan-tucker
03 Apr 2024
Ryan Tucker 03 Apr 2024
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  • Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters game expected to be a close, low-scoring match
  • The Roosters, despite a good season start, might face a tougher game than expected against the Bulldogs
  • Bulldogs remain underdogs, but noted for keeping games close against top-tier opponents like the Roosters
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James Tedesco
James Tedesco of the Roosters (Getty Images)

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters Expert Prediction


The Sydney Roosters will face off against the Bulldogs this Friday, and it's shaping up to be a low-scoring affair. 
  • Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
  • Sydney Roosters Form Analysis 
  • Sydney Roosters Team News
  • Sydney Roosters Team List

The Roosters have had a strong start to the season, going 2-2 in their first four games, which is unusual for them since they typically start slow and pick up steam later in the season. 

They've had some impressive defensive performances, allowing only 14.8 points per game and 2.5 linebreaks per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league in opposition points and 1st in the NRL in defense.

The Bulldogs are struggling and are expected to be in the running for the spoon again this year. They put up a good fight against the Titans but were unable to maintain their momentum against the Rabbitohs, ultimately losing by a close margin. 

The Bulldogs have been able to keep games close against the Roosters in the past, and with the underdog mentality, they might be able to keep this one within the 9-point margin that the computer model predicts. 

Despite the urge to back the Roosters, the numbers suggest that the Bulldogs could keep the score close, and the double money offered on the total going under makes it a worthwhile bet.

  • The margin of victory in the past 3 games between these teams has not been more than 6 points
  • All 4 Bulldogs games and 3 of 4 Roosters games this year have gone Under the Total
  • 9 of the 11 tries the Bulldogs have conceded have been down their right side
  • James Tedesco has scored 3 tries in his last two games against the Bulldogs

Head to Head 


The Bulldogs and Roosters have had vastly different levels of success in recent seasons, but their matchups have consistently been close and competitive. 

Despite the Roosters being heavy favorites in their last six games against the Bulldogs, they have only covered the spread twice, in 2019 and 2020. 

The total has gone under in two of the last three games between the teams, and the overall record since 2019 is 3-3. 

It's important to consider the recent trends of close games between these teams, rather than simply relying on the Roosters' superior record. The Bulldogs have been able to rise to the occasion and keep games close, even against top-tier opponents like the Roosters.

Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis


The Bulldogs have been struggling to find their rhythm on offense, despite having a talented roster.

They put up a good fight against the Titans, but their performance against the Rabbitohs was underwhelming, with 57 tackles in the opposition's 20-meter zone resulting in just three tries, two of which were initiated outside of the red zone. 

The Bulldogs have the potential to be a high-scoring team, but their attacking prowess hasn't yet translated into results. It remains to be seen if they can turn things around against a strong Roosters defense.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News


Josh Addo-Carr is again sidelined, this time with a head knock. Blake Wilson comes in as cover.

Jacob Preston has a fractured jaw with Josh Curran set to take his place in the starting team for the foreseeable future.

Liam Knight moves back to the bench with Harrison Edwards and Kitione Kautoga. Bronson Xerri is still in the reserves. 

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List


1. Blake Taaffe
2. Blake Wilson
3. Jacob Kiraz
4. Stephen Crichton
5. Connor Tracey
6. Matt Burton
7. Drew Hutchison
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Sam Hughes
11. Viliame Kikau
12. Josh Curran
13. Jaeman Salmon

Interchange
14. Kurt Mann
15. Harrison Edwards
16. Liam Knight
17. Kitione Kautoga

Reserves
19. Bronson Xerri
20. Toby Sexton
21. Bailey Hayward
22. Chris Patolo
23. Poasa Faamausili

Sydney Roosters Form Analysis 


The Roosters' usually reliable defense was caught off guard by the Panthers last weekend, with Penrith scoring two tries within the first 20 minutes. 

Despite this setback, the Roosters' defense regrouped and held strong for the remainder of the game, only allowing four tries. 

This performance highlights the resilience of the Roosters' defense this season, as they allowed their opponents to have 66% of territory and 46 tackles inside the 20-meter zone. 

While the final score may have appeared close, the Roosters' defense was able to limit the damage and keep the Panthers at bay. This strong defensive performance is a positive sign for the Roosters moving forward.

Sydney Roosters Team News


Origin forward Lindsay Collins returns following the week off with a hamstring injury. 

Terrell May goes back to the bench with Egan Butcher dropping to the reserves. 

Sitili Tupouniua is also on the bench with Angus Crichton starting in the backrow.

Sydney Roosters Team List


1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Joseph Suaalii
4. Joey Manu
5. Dom Young
6. Luke Keary
7. Sam Walker
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Brandon Smith
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Nat Butcher
12. Angus Crichton
13. Victor Radley

Interchange
14. Connor Watson
15. Naufahu Whyte
16. Sitili Tupouniua
17. Terrell May

Reserves
18. Michael Jennings
19. Egan Butcher
20. Fetalaiga Pauga
21. Zach Dockar-Clay
​​​​​​​22. Siua Wong

Verdict

The Roosters and Bulldogs are vastly different teams, but their upcoming matchup is expected to be a close contest. 

Despite the Roosters' strong defense, the Bulldogs have the potential to keep the game within reach, with the help of a 9.5-point head start. The total points scored in the game are expected to go under, making that the best bet. 

The Bulldogs' right side defense has been vulnerable, and the Roosters' Tedesco is likely to capitalize on that weakness, as he has done in their previous two matchups.

Best Bet1: Under 38.5 Game Total @10/11 at Boombet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Canterbury +10.5 Handicap Line @10/11 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet3: James Tedesco First Tryscorer @9/1 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: James Tedesco Anytime Tryscorer @6/4 at Neds - 1 Unit
Under 38.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 3 Units
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05 Apr 2024

Canterbury Bulldogs v Sydney Roosters