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Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Tips - Lions to get first win of AFL season

04 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 04 Apr 2024
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  • Brisbane Lions look to break their losing streak in round 4 against North Melbourne
  • North, despite being winless, has shown promise by competing with strong opponents
  • Brisbane has historically dominated North Melbourne, but a high-scoring game from both sides is expected
Brisbane Lions
Brisbane need to turn thier season around this week against North Melbourne. (Getty Images)

Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Expert Prediction

Brisbane are looking to break their losing streak as they face off against North Melbourne in round 4, and the Lions should get it.
  • Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Form Analysis
  • Brisbane Team News
  • North Melbourne Form Analysis
  • North Melbourne Team News

The Lions have struggled to maintain leads this season and will need a strong start and finish to secure their first win of the season. 

Despite North Melbourne's winless record, they have shown promise and have been able to compete with their opponents. 

Brisbane have historically dominated North Melbourne, but this season's matchup is expected to be closer. The total points scored is predicted to exceed the bookies' set number of 177.5 points, as both teams are expected to put up a high-scoring game. 

Brisbane is favored to win, but North Melbourne could potentially pull off an upset. The game promises to be an exciting matchup between two teams looking to turn their season around.

  • Brisbane have beaten North Melbourne by more than 36 points in their previous two matches.
  • North Melbourne have lost by more than 36.5 points in 2 of 3 matches this season.
  • The last 2 matches between North Melbourne and Brisbane have gone over the game total.
  • All three North Melbourne matches have had a total of over 177 points this season.

Head to Head 

Brisbane has had a strong record against North Melbourne, emerging victorious in all six encounters since 2019. 

The Lions have been dominant in their victories, with a 108-point win in 2022 and a 75-point win in 2023. 

In both matches, Brisbane scored over 150 points, showcasing their offensive prowess. The team will look to continue their winning streak against North Melbourne in their upcoming match.

Brisbane Form Analysis

Brisbane's struggles continued as they suffered their third loss of the season, falling to Collingwood in their 2023 Grand Final replay. 

The team's poor start to the season has raised concerns, with many questioning their ability to turn things around. 

Despite flashes of brilliance, Brisbane has been inconsistent, with a +74 point differential in just one quarter of their first two games and the second quarter of their round 2 clash. 

However, in the other nine quarters, they have been outscored by 188 points. The team will need to address these inconsistencies if they hope to turn their season around.

Brisbane Team News

Lachie Neale has passed his fitness test and play after tweaking his ankle.

Tom Doodee will undergo surgery to repair his ACL.

North Melbourne Form Analysis

North Melbourne has had a challenging start to the season, facing off against the three undefeated teams in the league. 

Despite losing to GWS and Freo, the team showed promise by competing with some of the best teams in the competition. 

While their round 3 loss to Carlton was their worst defeat, North Melbourne can take heart in the fact that they have shown flashes of potential. 

Unlike Hawthorn and West Coast, who are also winless, North Melbourne has been able to hold their own against strong opponents. The team will look to build on their strengths and secure their first win of the season in their upcoming match.

North Melbourne Team News

Callum Coleman-Jones is for the season with an achilles injury. Curtis Taylor is also out for another week with a back injury.


Brisbane is poised to turn their season around with a convincing win against North Melbourne. The team is expected to cover the 36.5-point line, with both teams combining to push the game total over 177.6 points.

Best Bet1: Brisbane -36.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at BlueBet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 177.5 Game Total @7/8 at Betr - 2 Units
Brisbane -36.5
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Over 177.5
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05 Apr 2024

Brisbane v North Melbourne