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Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons Tips - Dees to make it four in a row over Crows in Gather Round

02 Apr 2024
Ryan Tucker 02 Apr 2024
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  • Melbourne Demons predicted to defeat Adelaide Crows in the inaugural game of 2024's Gather Round.
  • Adelaide Crows struggling with goal efficiency contrasting with the Demons' superior performance.
  • Player injuries and unsteady form pose significant challenges for the Adelaide Crows against a resilient Melbourne Demons.
Max Gawn
Max Gawn of the Demons (Getty Images)

Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons Expert Prediction

The Adelaide Crows will have to prolong their quest for a season-opening win, as the Melbourne Demons are predicted to narrowly defeat them in Adelaide during the inaugural game of 2024's Gather Round.
  • Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Adelaide Crows Team News
  • Adelaide Crows Team List
  • Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Melbourne Demons Team News
  • Melbourne Demons Team List

This round, which draws inspiration from the NRL's Magic Round, will see all 9 AFL matches played across South Australia, spotlighting the state to a broader audience. The Demons, headed to Adelaide, aim to kick off the round with a triumph against the Crows, marking an exciting start to this special weekend of football.

Contrasting their impressive win against Carlton in the same round last year, Adelaide's current form paints a grim picture. With an unenviable start of 0-3, the pressure mounts on them to reverse their fortunes and deliver a performance that lives up to pre-season expectations. 

On the flip side, Melbourne has managed to keep their on-field performance unaffected by off-field distractions, eager to make amends for last year's loss to Essendon during Gather Round.

At the core of this match-up is goal efficiency - a critical factor that sets the teams apart despite their statistical similarities. Melbourne's superior goal efficiency stands as a testament to their scoring prowess, contrasting sharply with Adelaide's struggles in converting inside 50s into goals.

  • Adelaide average 54.7 Inside 50’s so far this season but average only 7.7 goals per game
  • Melbourne take only 9.5 Marks Inside 50 per game but have the 3rd best Goal Efficiency in the league at 26.5%
  • The average margin of victory in Melbourne’s last three wins over Adelaide is 24.6 pts
  • Max Gawn is in the Elite bracket for disposals this season averaging 19.3 per game, up on his career number of 15.5

Head to Head 

The Demons have historically had the upper hand against the Crows, with recent wins bolstering their confidence. 

Despite Adelaide's resilient comeback in their last encounter, Melbourne's ability to regain control and secure a narrow victory highlights their mental and tactical superiority.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Adelaide's recent form has been disappointing, culminating in a significant defeat to Fremantle. Their inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities has been a recurring theme, severely impacting their overall performance.

Injury setbacks have further compounded Adelaide's challenges, with key players sidelined, thus affecting their team dynamics and on-field strategies.

Adelaide Crows Team News

Wayne Milera's season has come to an early end, with knee surgery scheduled for this week. Lachlan Murphy is also sidelined for 3-5 weeks due to a knee injury. 

Jordan Butts will undergo an ankle assessment prior to the next game. Meanwhile, there's yet to be an update on Rory Sloane, who is currently out with an eye injury.

Adelaide Crows Team List

Team list to come.

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Melbourne's victory over Port Adelaide exemplifies their resilience and strategic execution, especially in high-stakes moments. 

Their efficiency inside 50 and decisive fourth-quarter performance underline their capacity to seize crucial opportunities.

Melbourne Demons Team News

Marty Hore is set to undergo thumb surgery, sidelining him for the upcoming month. Meanwhile, Kade Chandler is pending a fitness examination to determine his readiness for play. 

Steven May is expected to return to the field after recovering from a rib injury, along with Lachie Hunter, who has been dealing with a calf injury. 

Both Daniel Turner and Charlie Spargo are anticipated to be out of action for a few more weeks.

Melbourne Demons Team List

Team list to come.


Given Adelaide's current struggles and Melbourne's robust form, the latter is poised for victory.

Adelaide's inefficacy in scoring and Melbourne's goal-scoring efficiency will likely be the decisive factors. 

Anticipate Melbourne to capitalize on their strengths, with Max Gawn predicted to excel in his performance, further tipping the scales in the Demons' favor.

Best Bet1: Melbourne 1-20 Winning Margin @29/10 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 169.5 Game Total @8/9 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Melbourne 1-20
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Under 169.5
Game Total
@8/9 - 2 Units
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18+. T&Cs apply

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04 Apr 2024

Adelaide v Melbourne